Closing birdie saves Mickelson

Golf Betting Lines

07/16/2010 - St. Andrews, Scotland (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - With the wind picking up, the cut line will likely climb through Friday afternoon, and possibly into Saturday morning, at the British Open.

Phil Mickelson birdied the 18th hole Friday to post a one-under 71, which got him back to even-par for the championship.

He was lucky enough to finish his round before the wind really started blowing. Not long after Mickelson completed his round, play was suspended by high wind as golf balls were getting moved around on greens by the wind.

This is the first suspension due to high winds since the 1998 Open Championship at Royal Birkdale.

Mickelson had an inconsistent round with an eagle, three birdies and four bogeys, but his closing birdie all but guaranteed his spot in the field for the final two rounds.

"I've got to play better. I've got to go out and make some birdies tomorrow," Mickelson stated. "I also need some conditions to be able to do it and a little bit of luck for it to turn."

The Masters champion walked off the 18th green on the Old Course at St. Andrews tied for 68th place with the top 70 and ties slated for the weekend.

Mickelson opened his round with a birdie on the third. After a par on four, he rolled in an eagle putt at the par-five fifth to move to minus-two.

However, Mickelson saw his par-saving putt on the sixth lip out. He parred the next two holes, before converting a 15-footer for birdie on the ninth to turn in two-under.

On the back nine, Mickelson fought both the wind and his swing. He hit several drives out to the left and it cost him on the 12th. His drive stopped in high rough and behind some bleachers.

Mickelson chipped sideways, then pitched his third to about 30 feet. He two- putted for bogey. At the par-five 14th, Mickelson's par putt lipped out and that dropped him back to even-par for the championship.

After a pair of pars, Mickelson found the left rough off the tee at the Road Hole, No. 17. He was unable to reach the green with his second and walked off with another bogey that dropped him to plus-one overall.

Mickelson drove left of the 18th green and played his second to 10 feet. He rolled that in for a closing birdie to get back to minus-one for the day.

"I'm going to need some luck, I didn't play well these first two days," said Mickelson. "I have to go out tomorrow and have prefect conditions and play a great round, and then I need it to blow like this in the afternoon. I need some luck."

Mickelson has made the cut in 13 of his first 16 British Open appearances, but has just one top-10 finish in those 13 Opens. He took third in 2004 and his second-best finish came on the Old Course in 2000. Mickelson shared 11th that year, but he was 12 strokes behind Tiger Woods.

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Betting the NFL preseason

Rule No. 1 in the gamblers' handbook states, "Avoid sports betting on meaningless games."

When you're drowning in a sea of baseball monotony, however, things change. Even a hint of pro football betting can persuade the most disciplined bettor to break a few rules. 

The NFL preseason is around the corner, with a tempting Hall of Fame match kicking off on Sunday. But bettors must stay vigilant. Wagering on NFL exhibition games is an entirely different beast than the regular season. Most fans don't recognize the players on the field because starters get as much action in August as Warcraft fans get on Prom night.

The only certainty about the NFL this time of year is uncertainty – and yet there are some who say betting in August can be a gold mine.

“I actually feel the NFL preseason presents solid profit opportunities for sharp bettors and handicappers,” Sports Expert Steve Merril explains. “My experience has been that the sportsbooks fear the preseason, which is evident by lower limits and massive moves.”

The line moves are attributed to the limited knowledge available regarding playing-time distribution. One team’s top unit out on the field for one more series has an impact on the pointspread. Setting lines in the preseason often is a shot in the dark.

“We base the betting lines mostly on public perception,” Pete Korner, founder of the Sports Club in Las Vegas, says. “It’s very tough to predict, almost a guessing game.”

The preseason is all about figuring out who’s in and for how long.

“It becomes a race between bettors and oddsmakers to find out how long the quarterbacks are going to stay in,” Korner admits. “If a sharp gets the information first, he could exploit an early line. I’m a full believer in moving the line in the preseason if the books find out something late in the week.”

Determining what each team’s motive is can help bettors handicap. To do this you must pay close attention to the philosophies head coaches employ in exhibition play.

“You need to know what a coach is trying to accomplish,” says Covers Expert Bryan Leonard. “Sometimes a new coach will want to instill a winning attitude. Others just want to make sure their starters don’t get hurt."

So how do you distinguish who’s playing scared and who’s playing for keeps?

“Head coaches on the hot seat or new coaches trying to implement a winning attitude usually try harder to win in the preseason,” Merril says.

Cleveland Browns head coach Romeo Crennel fits this criteria. He’s entering his third season as the sideline boss and has yet to lead the Browns to more than six wins.

Cleveland is an enticing bet as well because of the unresolved quarterback situation. General manager Phil Savage sacrificed the Browns’ first-round pick in next year’s draft for Brady Quinn, but the former Notre Dame quarterback hasn’t signed or reported to training camp yet.

Charlie Frye and Derek Anderson split time at QB last season and it looks like either player (or even Quinn) could be the opening-day starter.

“If a team has quarterback depth and the pecking order hasn’t been decided, it’s a big advantage,” Leonard says.

Even in the third week of the preseason when starters generally play the most, the final outcome of the game is in the hands of fringe players. A team's talent, all the way down to the last man on the roster, is something to consider.

The New England Patriots have long been considered one of the deeper teams in the NFL and coach Bill Belichick has said in the past he’s unafraid of stars getting hurt in games with nothing on the line. He shocked his colleagues in 2003 by playing some of his starters on special teams in the preseason.

“We want to have the team ready to play a tough, physical game and preparation has to go into that and I imagine a certain amount of injuries go with it,” Belichick told the Providence Journal in August 2003.

Bettors can only hope to find more teams that share the Pats' business-like approach to the preseason (New England is 17-9-3 against the spread since 2000) and take advantage of teams who detest the exhibition schedule.

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